Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN +550 AKR -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +38 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -17.4 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -11.7 (-26.3) | 153.6 (+2.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -10.5 (-27.5) | 150.6 (+5.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -11.0 (-27.0) | 151.1 (+4.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -9.9 (-28.1) | 151.6 (+4.4) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2021 | AKR 69 – 60 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 17-1 |
| Home | 5-10 | 15-0 |
| Away | 1-12 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#277) | 10.9 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#249) | 2.57 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#252) | 4.26 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#241) | 0.697 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 24.7% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 2.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 12.1% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 62.5% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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