Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +190 AKR -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +9 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -2.8 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 114.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -0.8 (-8.2) | 126.5 (+2.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -0.2 (-8.8) | 124.6 (+4.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -1.7 (-7.3) | 126.4 (+2.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -1.0 (-8.0) | 123.7 (+5.3) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2025 | AKR 97 – 59 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 4-9 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-11 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.8 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#308) | -5.0 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#304) | -2.68 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#303) | -3.75 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#246) | 0.374 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 35.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 20.5% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 39.6% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 17.3% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 12.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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