Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | GW -2500 ODU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +23 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | GW -26.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -18.9 (+4.1) | 140.9 (+28.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -19.7 (+3.3) | 142.4 (+26.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -25.7 (-2.7) | 142.5 (+26.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -23.0 (-0.0) | 141.1 (+27.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | GW 78 – 70 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#27) | -4.4 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#57) | -0.34 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#68) | -0.60 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#62) | 0.250 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 43.7 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 42.1% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 38.7% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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