Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | ODU +290 GW -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +8 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | GW -11.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -8.4 (+0.4) | 143.9 (+4.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -7.5 (-0.5) | 143.9 (+4.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -7.7 (-0.3) | 144.2 (+3.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -7.7 (-0.3) | 145.0 (+3.0) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | GW 96 – 73 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-9 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -15.9 (#355) | 0.4 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#341) | 0.37 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.78 (#317) | 0.39 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.365 (#349) | 0.491 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 34.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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