Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UCR -175 UND +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +2 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -23.4 (-25.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -12.8 (-14.8) | 145.3 (+4.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCR -14.1 (-16.1) | 145.7 (+4.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | UCR -12.5 (-14.5) | 144.3 (+5.7) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -13.9 (-15.9) | 145.4 (+4.6) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2025 | UCR 74 – 70 UND |
| Dec 4, 2023 | UCR 68 – 62 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-15 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 79.6 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#170) | -13.2 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#133) | -3.26 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#151) | -4.67 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#169) | 0.208 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 43.9% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 27.7 |
| OREB / G | 4.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 16.7% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 36.2% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 60.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.9% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 38.5% |
Game Analysis
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