Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -16.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -13.8 (-6.8) | 136.5 (+6.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -11.5 (-4.5) | 139.7 (+3.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -12.2 (-5.2) | 141.5 (+1.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -12.6 (-5.6) | 138.5 (+4.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | MSST 80 – 59 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-16 |
| Home | 8-8 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L6 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#149) | -5.2 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#188) | -1.36 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#186) | -1.87 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.677 (#50) | 0.403 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 33.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 39.6% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 45.3% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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