Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | AF +450 M-OH -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -1.1 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -4.3 (-10.7) | 144.8 (-7.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -4.9 (-10.1) | 144.2 (-7.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -7.7 (-7.3) | 144.6 (-7.6) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2024 | M-OH 73 – 60 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AF | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 32-2 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 18-0 |
| Home | 3-15 | 16-0 |
| Away | 0-12 | 14-0 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L25 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 86.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#338) | 0.3 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#347) | 0.57 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.56 (#345) | 0.78 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.329 (#322) | 0.750 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AF | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 28.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 37.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 25.5% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 83.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.0% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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