Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH -280 AF +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -9.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -5.7 (+7.3) | 136.5 (-3.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -6.1 (+6.9) | 139.2 (-6.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -7.4 (+5.6) | 138.5 (-5.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -6.6 (+6.4) | 135.7 (-2.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | M-OH 76 – 61 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 1-19 |
| Home | 15-1 | 3-13 |
| Away | 6-7 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 61.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#193) | -5.5 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#86) | -2.45 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#101) | -3.10 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#114) | 0.368 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | AF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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