Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -380 MD +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +7 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -17.2 (-24.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -10.4 (-17.4) | 142.9 (+28.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -13.3 (-20.3) | 141.2 (+29.8) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -12.8 (-19.8) | 142.6 (+28.4) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -13.6 (-20.6) | 143.7 (+27.3) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | MARQ 78 – 74 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#94) | -2.7 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#172) | -0.70 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#178) | -0.98 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#237) | 0.400 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 44.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 24.9% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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