Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | NE -120 UVM +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +11 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -11.0 (-22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | NE -7.4 (-18.4) | 144.8 (+14.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -9.6 (-20.6) | 143.7 (+15.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -9.1 (-20.1) | 144.8 (+14.2) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | UVM 68 – 64 NE |
| Dec 7, 2023 | UVM 73 – 71 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 12-4 |
| Home | 2-10 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#95) | 3.4 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#91) | 1.23 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#66) | 1.52 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#84) | 0.375 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 12.3% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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