Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -360 FAU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +20 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -8.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -5.5 (+14.5) | 151.8 (+4.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -5.3 (+14.7) | 152.7 (+3.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -4.8 (+15.2) | 152.1 (+3.9) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | FAU 77 – 74 LIB |
| Nov 30, 2023 | FAU 83 – 58 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 11-3 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#219) | 3.4 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#146) | 1.22 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#147) | 1.70 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#76) | 0.750 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.2% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 48.3% | 43.4% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 3.40 | 1.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 66.1% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 8.1% | 12.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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