Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | FAU +130 LIB -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -3.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -5.1 (-2.1) | 149.2 (+1.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -2.0 (+1.0) | 150.1 (+0.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -2.7 (+0.3) | 152.0 (-1.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -2.0 (+1.0) | 147.2 (+3.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2025 | LIB 88 – 68 FAU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | FAU 83 – 58 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#42) | 6.0 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#161) | 1.47 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#152) | 1.78 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#136) | 0.354 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 51.4% |
| 3PT% | 43.9% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.4% | 59.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.0% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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