Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -230 LIB +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +21 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -6.5 (-27.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (-43.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -4.2 (-25.2) | 144.4 (-29.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -5.8 (-26.8) | 146.7 (-31.7) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -6.4 (-27.4) | 149.5 (-34.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -6.8 (-27.8) | 149.3 (-34.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2025 | LIB 90 – 75 COFC |
| Dec 1, 2023 | COFC 76 – 67 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#79) | 6.3 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#39) | 0.20 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#45) | 0.16 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.670 (#43) | 0.354 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 42.3% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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