Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -198 COFC +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +9 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -13.5 (-22.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -10.4 (-19.4) | 144.6 (-1.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -9.7 (-18.7) | 143.9 (-0.9) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -10.7 (-19.7) | 145.8 (-2.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -9.5 (-18.5) | 145.8 (-2.8) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2025 | LIB 90 – 75 COFC |
| Nov 17, 2024 | LIB 68 – 47 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#29) | -2.2 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.09 (#15) | 0.40 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.25 (#19) | 0.58 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.719 (#3) | 0.511 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.3% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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