Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -185 MOST +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -4.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -3.5 (-0.5) | 151.9 (-14.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -4.4 (-1.4) | 148.2 (-11.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -4.3 (-1.3) | 149.9 (-12.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -4.0 (-1.0) | 152.9 (-15.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | MOST 75 – 72 FIU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MOST 79 – 71 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#189) | -2.9 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#231) | -0.66 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#218) | -0.55 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#235) | 0.476 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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