Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | AUB -425 MICH +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -8.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -11.7 (+1.3) | 149.8 (-6.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -10.6 (+2.4) | 149.3 (-6.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -9.4 (+3.6) | 149.3 (-6.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -10.8 (+2.2) | 148.6 (-5.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | MICH 102 – 72 AUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-2 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 11-2 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 25.9 (#2) | 17.2 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.73 (#2) | 3.25 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.79 (#2) | 4.05 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.677 (#1) | 0.623 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.76 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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