Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | FLA -300 MD +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +16 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -3.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -3.8 (+12.2) | 153.0 (+5.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -4.5 (+11.5) | 151.5 (+6.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -4.5 (+11.5) | 152.3 (+5.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -3.0 (+13.0) | 153.0 (+5.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2021 | MD 70 – 68 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-4 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 17-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 14-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.8 | 81.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 24.5 (#4) | 20.8 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.79 (#1) | 2.98 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.14 (#1) | 4.09 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.651 (#4) | 0.604 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.