Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -5000 NIU +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +16 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -12.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -12.9 (+3.1) | 141.1 (-5.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -8.8 (+7.2) | 141.6 (-5.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -11.1 (+4.9) | 143.6 (-7.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -11.1 (+4.9) | 144.4 (-8.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | BRAD 84 – 55 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 2-16 |
| Home | 14-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 9-3 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#137) | -3.0 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#181) | 0.04 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#177) | -0.02 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#255) | 0.448 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 42.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 34.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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