Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MAN +290 FOR -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | MAN -6.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -2.4 (-0.4) | 139.0 (+15.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -0.5 (+1.5) | 136.2 (+17.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -0.3 (+1.7) | 139.5 (+14.5) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | FOR 82 – 53 MAN |
| Nov 28, 2023 | FOR 93 – 61 MAN |
| Nov 13, 2021 | MAN 66 – 60 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 8-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#259) | -2.5 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#189) | 1.25 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#182) | 1.27 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#75) | 0.581 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 27.1% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 18.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 31.4% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 15.6% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 61.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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