Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -130 LUC +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -12.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -8.3 (-13.3) | 148.6 (-7.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -7.4 (-12.4) | 149.6 (-8.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -8.2 (-13.2) | 151.8 (-10.8) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | LUC 73 – 68 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-11 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 17-1 |
| Away | 7-4 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-6 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#172) | -4.0 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#7) | 0.81 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.87 (#15) | 1.13 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#113) | 0.625 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 34.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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