Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -220 TULN +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -10.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -6.8 (+1.2) | 143.8 (-1.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -7.3 (+0.7) | 142.5 (-0.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -7.7 (+0.3) | 142.8 (-0.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -6.2 (+1.8) | 149.8 (-7.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2023 | TULN 117 – 110 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 9-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#102) | 1.6 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#1) | 0.66 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.43 (#5) | 0.86 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.812 (#10) | 0.479 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 37.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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