Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | CHST +165 WAG -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +12 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -1.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -0.7 (-11.3) | 127.9 (-11.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -0.4 (-11.6) | 128.8 (-12.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -2.7 (-9.3) | 129.1 (-13.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -1.0 (-11.0) | 127.6 (-11.6) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WAG 80 – 61 CHST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WAG 79 – 72 CHST |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CHST 64 – 52 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 6-10 |
| Home | 3-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-19 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 57.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -17.0 (#359) | -12.5 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.54 (#350) | -1.81 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#348) | -2.70 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#326) | 0.418 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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