Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Massey | HOW -17.6 | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -13.2 | 149.6 | 85% |
| Baseline ML | HOW -14.5 | 149.8 | 83% |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | HOW 88 – 84 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Home | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Away | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 94.0 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#33) | -10.0 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#30) | -1.06 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#28) | -1.63 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.300 (#84) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 30.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 22.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 35.5% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 30.7% |
| ORB% | 43.8% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 45.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 54.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 38.7% |
Game Analysis
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