Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | MEM -175 BOIS +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +3 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -1.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -1.7 (+1.3) | 138.9 (-23.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -1.8 (+1.2) | 137.0 (-22.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -0.8 (+2.2) | 140.1 (-25.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -2.1 (+0.9) | 137.7 (-22.7) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 17, 2022 | MEM 64 – 53 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-8 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#39) | 10.0 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#53) | 1.90 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#42) | 2.16 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#58) | 0.600 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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