Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -2.0 Away covered |
| Money | BOIS +110 MEM -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +11 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -1.3 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -0.7 (-10.3) | 131.4 (-14.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MEM -0.9 (-10.1) | 130.9 (-13.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MEM -0.5 (-10.5) | 133.5 (-16.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -1.5 (-9.5) | 132.1 (-15.1) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 26, 2021 | MEM 59 – 56 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#37) | 12.4 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#24) | 1.79 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#31) | 2.56 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#29) | 0.578 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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