Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
California Baptist Lancers
66 – 83
FINAL Neutral Conference WAC
Seattle U Redhawks
Western Athletic Conference · Orleans Arena (Neutral) · March 12, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SEA -1.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money CBU +110 / SEA -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual SEA +17 149 Lost
Massey CBU -1.0 (-18.0) — —
Massey Totals — 152.5 (-3.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 50% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 55% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -0.5 (-17.5) 145.9 (+3.1) 52% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SEA -0.3 (-16.7) 146.2 (+2.8) 45% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -0.3 (-17.3) 147.5 (+1.5) 45% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -0.4 (-17.4) 144.9 (+4.1) 51% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2025 SEA 72 – 48 CBU
Jan 5, 2025 CBU 61 – 59 SEA
Mar 15, 2024 SEA 81 – 57 CBU
Feb 4, 2024 SEA 61 – 60 CBU
Jan 6, 2024 SEA 48 – 46 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU SEA
Overall 13-10 12-11
Conference 6-6 4-5
Home 11-4 6-3
Away 2-5 3-6
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.3 70.3
Avg Pts Against 76.5 72.0
Massey -3.5 (#222) -4.5 (#243)
Bradley-Terry -1.27 (#273) -1.27 (#272)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.08 (#248) -1.28 (#259)
RPI 0.452 (#257) 0.423 (#300)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU SEA
FG% 46.2% 40.0%
3PT% 39.9% 31.9%
REB / G 35.4 33.1
OREB / G 9.3 10.4
AST / TO 1.15 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.2% 46.7%
TOV% 19.7% 15.8%
ORB% 27.9% 26.8%
FT Rate 26.7% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 21.8%
DRB% 71.5% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 25.3% 30.4%

Game Analysis

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