Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | TULN -4000 ALCN +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +33 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -26.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -23.8 (+9.2) | 140.2 (-5.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -24.5 (+8.5) | 143.2 (-8.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -21.0 (+12.0) | 141.9 (-6.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | TULN 85 – 64 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-17 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#210) | -17.1 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#152) | -0.65 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#148) | -0.93 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#106) | 0.562 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 32.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 37.3% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.6% | 65.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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