Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | PUR -1600 YALE +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +8 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -12.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | PUR -8.2 (-0.2) | 147.1 (+28.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -9.3 (-1.3) | 145.5 (+30.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -8.6 (-0.6) | 145.6 (+30.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 18, 2022 | PUR 78 – 56 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 13-1 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-0 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#82) | 3.9 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#85) | -0.03 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#85) | 0.02 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#106) | 0.312 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.7% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.7% | 40.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.2% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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