Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | PUR -440 YALE +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -15.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -12.9 (+9.1) | 143.7 (-9.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -13.9 (+8.1) | 141.8 (-7.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -12.5 (+9.5) | 142.5 (-8.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -12.6 (+9.4) | 142.5 (-8.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2024 | PUR 92 – 84 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-3 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 16.9 (#14) | 1.3 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#10) | 0.53 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.74 (#11) | 0.54 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#16) | 0.556 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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