Betting Lines
| Spread | JOES -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JOES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JOES +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | JOES -2.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JOES -1.3 (+1.7) | 145.7 (-14.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JOES -2.5 (+0.5) | 143.0 (-12.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JOES -2.3 (+0.7) | 145.1 (-14.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JOES -2.4 (+0.6) | 146.0 (-15.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2022 | JOES 99 – 79 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JOES | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-15 | 7-9 |
| Conference | 3-9 | 6-6 |
| Home | 3-3 | 4-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#240) | -4.1 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#296) | -1.92 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#283) | -2.63 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#182) | 0.400 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JOES | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 27.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 18.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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