Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -35.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +37 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -32.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -24.9 (+12.1) | 158.0 (-9.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -25.0 (+12.0) | 158.8 (-9.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -30.6 (+6.4) | 156.0 (-7.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -32.0 (+5.0) | 156.5 (-7.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2021 | BAY 92 – 47 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-2 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 4-12 |
| Home | 11-0 | 4-5 |
| Away | 7-1 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 82.8 |
| Massey | 25.8 (#1) | -2.4 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.87 (#6) | -1.82 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.59 (#3) | -2.39 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.651 (#15) | 0.457 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.1% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 47.0% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.84 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.9% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 26.3% |
| ORB% | 42.7% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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