Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -1.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -3.0 (-11.0) | 142.3 (+9.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -1.0 (-9.0) | 141.1 (+10.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -2.4 (-10.4) | 143.0 (+9.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -2.6 (-10.6) | 143.3 (+8.7) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2021 | NORF 74 – 69 UNCW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#213) | 0.6 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#149) | 0.97 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#158) | 1.83 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#130) | 0.589 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 41.5% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 19.5% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.