Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | GWEB -200 VMI +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +11 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -1.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -1.6 (+9.4) | 140.5 (+24.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -1.7 (+9.3) | 143.5 (+21.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -1.7 (+9.3) | 143.2 (+21.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -1.2 (+9.8) | 140.0 (+25.0) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2021 | VMI 64 – 61 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-15 | 13-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#166) | 2.5 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#278) | 0.46 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#260) | 1.05 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#269) | 0.505 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.