Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -33.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +39 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -40.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.5 (-28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -25.0 (+14.0) | 152.8 (-15.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -35.2 (+3.8) | 146.7 (-9.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2021 | GCU 91 – 44 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-7 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 2-13 |
| Home | 10-3 | 1-5 |
| Away | 5-1 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 56.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 87.4 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#124) | -27.8 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#107) | -1.57 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#107) | -2.45 (#216) |
| RPI | — | 0.250 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 35.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 50.0 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 4.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.8% | 69.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 79.5% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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