Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -31.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +47 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -28.0 (+19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -24.6 (+22.4) | 139.8 (-4.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -21.2 (+25.8) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -26.2 (+20.8) | 142.0 (-7.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -27.4 (+19.6) | 141.4 (-6.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2020 | GCU 88 – 49 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 2-16 |
| Home | 15-2 | 0-11 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.0 | 83.0 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#128) | -19.9 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#58) | -1.79 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#59) | -2.51 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#139) | 0.412 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 31.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 36.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 39.6% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 62.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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