Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | TXST -550 GAST +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +14 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -12.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -10.2 (+3.8) | 146.8 (+27.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -8.6 (+5.4) | 147.3 (+26.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -9.3 (+4.7) | 145.5 (+28.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -9.1 (+4.9) | 146.1 (+27.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | TXST 68 – 59 GAST |
| Mar 1, 2023 | TXST 81 – 76 GAST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#162) | -8.6 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#186) | -1.43 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#207) | -2.00 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#173) | 0.442 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.