Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +22 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -15.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -11.8 (+10.2) | 134.0 (-18.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -12.6 (+9.4) | 135.2 (-19.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -12.7 (+9.3) | 133.9 (-17.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -12.3 (+9.7) | 134.7 (-18.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2022 | UVU 101 – 87 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-2 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#113) | -12.3 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#114) | -2.02 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#108) | -2.68 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#85) | 0.397 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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