This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Conference USA · E.A. Diddle Arena · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 163.5 Under
Money WKU -380 / KENN +290
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual WKU +16 154 Won
Massey WKU -6.2 (+9.8)
Massey Totals 159.0 (-5.0)
Bradley-Terry 69%
Weighted B-T 71%
Efficiency Plus ML WKU -5.3 (+10.7) 154.8 (-0.8) 76%
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -4.5 (+11.5) 152.7 (+1.3) 71%
Baseline ML WKU -4.1 (+11.9) 152.2 (+1.8) 70%
Baseline Plus ML WKU -4.4 (+11.6) 155.7 (-1.7) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2026 KENN 9687 WKU
Jan 29, 2026 KENN 7269 WKU
Jan 17, 2026 KENN 8165 WKU
Feb 7, 2025 KENN 7669 WKU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WKU KENN
Overall 17-15 19-14
Conference 8-10 10-8
Home 13-5 12-3
Away 4-9 5-8
Neutral 0-1 2-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 73.3 73.7
Avg Pts Against 74.8 74.0
Massey 0.7 (#153) -1.5 (#190)
Bradley-Terry 0.34 (#141) 0.26 (#149)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.12 (#159) 0.06 (#163)
RPI 0.519 (#133) 0.519 (#137)
Shooting & Four Factors WKU KENN
FG% 42.0% 41.7%
3PT% 32.0% 31.8%
REB / G 37.9 38.4
OREB / G 8.5 12.3
AST / TO 0.86 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.0% 48.9%
TOV% 16.4% 21.1%
ORB% 21.7% 34.3%
FT Rate 26.0% 30.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 48.1%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 15.3%
DRB% 72.3% 68.3%
Opp FT Rate 29.5% 30.3%

Game Analysis

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