Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | KSU +450 HOU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +30 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -16.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -12.9 (-17.1) | 129.0 (+15.0) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -13.5 (-16.5) | 130.3 (+13.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -14.7 (-15.3) | 132.2 (+11.8) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -15.8 (-14.2) | 129.9 (+14.1) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | HOU 78 – 64 KSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | HOU 74 – 52 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 35-5 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 19-1 |
| Home | 10-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 10-0 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 9-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 58.6 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#104) | 24.0 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#122) | 2.38 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#107) | 3.46 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#121) | 0.612 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 41.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 40.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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