Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | TXST -1100 DEN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +13 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -12.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -12.8 (+0.2) | 137.2 (-8.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -10.9 (+2.1) | 143.9 (-14.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -11.7 (+1.3) | 143.0 (-14.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -11.2 (+1.8) | 140.8 (-11.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2020 | TXST 70 – 68 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-8 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#76) | -1.0 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#65) | -1.07 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#78) | -1.70 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#64) | 0.453 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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