Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | FAU -320 UNF +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +35 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -7.0 (+28.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-35.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -8.3 (+26.7) | 143.6 (-26.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -7.2 (+27.8) | 148.7 (-31.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -7.7 (+27.3) | 149.6 (-32.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -10.0 (+25.0) | 148.4 (-31.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2020 | FAU 79 – 77 UNF |
Game Analysis
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