Betting Lines
| Spread | ILL -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +260 ILL -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILL +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | ILL -13.2 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILL -8.4 (+4.4) | 155.8 (+2.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILL -9.9 (+5.9) | 151.3 (+6.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILL -8.4 (+4.4) | 154.3 (+3.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILL -7.4 (+3.4) | 154.0 (+4.0) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | ILL 75 – 66 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-9 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 83.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#95) | 22.5 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#77) | 3.18 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#87) | 4.83 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#91) | 0.609 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 45.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 42.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.