Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -11.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -12.7 (-3.7) | 151.2 (+15.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -10.0 (-1.0) | 151.3 (+15.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -12.3 (-3.3) | 151.2 (+15.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -11.0 (-2.0) | 149.5 (+17.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | CSU 83 – 64 UNCO |
| Dec 3, 2022 | UNCO 88 – 83 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-6 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-3 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 78.0 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#45) | 4.4 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#7) | 1.13 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.83 (#12) | 2.17 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#102) | 0.530 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 42.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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