Betting Lines
| Spread | LOU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MD +125 LOU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LOU +8 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | LOU -3.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LOU -1.5 (-6.5) | 141.8 (-23.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LOU -2.3 (-5.7) | 140.9 (-22.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LOU -2.5 (-5.5) | 139.8 (-21.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LOU -2.0 (-6.0) | 138.4 (-20.4) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | MD 79 – 54 LOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-8 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#161) | 3.9 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#159) | 0.79 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#168) | 2.00 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#118) | 0.547 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 80.1% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.