Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | LOU +550 MD -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +25 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | MD -20.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -16.6 (-8.4) | 135.9 (-2.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -14.0 (-11.0) | 136.5 (-3.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -10.6 (-14.4) | 136.4 (-3.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -14.5 (-10.5) | 137.4 (-4.4) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2021 | LOU 63 – 55 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LOU | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-9 |
| Home | 4-13 | 16-1 |
| Away | 0-11 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 63.5 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#345) | 14.7 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.01 (#360) | 3.67 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.73 (#349) | 5.82 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.364 (#334) | 0.721 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LOU | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.44 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 25.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.