Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
| Money | MONT -270 USM +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -9.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -6.7 (+5.3) | 136.7 (-0.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -6.7 (+5.3) | 132.7 (+3.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -6.2 (+5.8) | 136.8 (-0.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -6.4 (+5.6) | 136.5 (-0.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | USM 64 – 54 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#262) | -7.4 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#226) | 0.50 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#182) | -0.17 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#253) | 0.472 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | USM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 24.7% |
| REB / G | 28.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 16.7% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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