This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Lakefront Arena · November 24, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UNO -8.0 Home covered
O/U 151.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNO win
Actual UNO +27 153 Won
Massey UNO -18.1 (+8.9) — —
Massey Totals — 144.5 (+8.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 63% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNO -11.3 (+15.7) 145.1 (+7.9) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNO -11.2 (+15.8) 144.5 (+8.5) 85% ✓
Baseline ML UNO -11.2 (+15.8) 146.3 (+6.7) 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNO -13.2 (+13.8) 145.4 (+7.6) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 26, 2023 UNO 79 – 74 CARK
Feb 23, 2021 UNO 88 – 63 CARK
Jan 7, 2021 CARK 83 – 79 UNO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNO CARK
Neutral 3-2 0-2
Last 5 0-3 1-3
Massey -5.5 (#275) -16.2 (#354)
Bradley-Terry -2.06 (#323) -1.05 (#251)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.69 (#311) -1.94 (#276)
RPI 0.393 (#299) 0.440 (#244)
Shooting & Four Factors UNO CARK
FG% 44.2% 37.0%
3PT% 34.2% 29.4%
REB / G 31.7 34.0
OREB / G 10.0 8.5
AST / TO 0.98 0.54
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.8% 42.2%
TOV% 19.3% 26.1%
ORB% 29.1% 22.1%
FT Rate 18.2% 12.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.7% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 14.7%
DRB% 70.7% 67.1%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 24.5%

Game Analysis

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