Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SJSU -0.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJSU -1.9 (-0.9) | 133.7 (+15.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -0.3 (+1.3) | 137.9 (+11.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJSU -1.9 (-0.9) | 138.4 (+10.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJSU -1.4 (-0.4) | 137.6 (+11.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2022 | SJSU 80 – 69 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 13-7 |
| Home | 7-9 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#230) | 3.6 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#132) | 1.04 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#128) | 1.40 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#138) | 0.622 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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