Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | EMU -125 ILST +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +5 | 201 | Won |
| Massey | EMU -19.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+66.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -9.0 (-4.0) | 135.4 (+65.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -8.4 (-3.4) | 141.9 (+59.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2022 | ILST 87 – 81 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-14 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#73) | -3.0 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#182) | 0.32 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#160) | 0.37 (#125) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 31.2% | 33.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.3% | 41.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 15.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 39.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 38.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.7% | 11.8% |
| DRB% | 87.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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