Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
| Money | UCD -280 EWU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +8 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | UCD -20.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -11.0 (-3.0) | 148.7 (+11.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -10.0 (-2.0) | 150.6 (+9.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | EWU 79 – 68 UCD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCD | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-11 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 5-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 9-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#34) | -0.3 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#13) | -0.32 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#15) | -0.45 (#197) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCD | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 34.5% | 10.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 11.5% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 13.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.